Up and down and ... ugh.
The valleys? More like canyons.
Make peaks of molehills.

Sacramento Kings at Portland Trail Blazers
7 p.m. Pacific on Comcast SportsNet California
I'm really battling with myself right now. The hopeful Kings fan in me wants to look at the 3-5 spell in this brutal eight-game stretch as the first melt of snow on the dawn of spring. The Kings have won two -- two! -- games on the road now after looking so pitiful in the team's first escapades away from The Gymmer. The Spurs are wounded, but they are the Spurs. The right Kings looked so good in that game that it felt like a real victory, a stone to step on to reach new heights.
The analytic side of me looks at these brutal losses, these mammoth deficits and wonders if that isn't closer to normal for this club. I believe heavily in points margin as a more accurate reflection of team quality than win-loss record, primarily because it grows the population of data that goes into such an assessment. A 1-1 team with a 2-point win and a 50-point loss isn't better than an 0-2 team with two four-point losses, you know? The analytics say that the Kings are a disaster: the wins have been seat-of-the-britches affairs, the losses have largely been complete inplosions. In 10 road games, the Kings have won two games by a total of nine points (+4.5/game) and lost eight by a total of 192 (-24). Of those eight road losses, five have been by at least 20 points and two have been by at least 30. Two 30-point losses 17 games into the season!
I see the offense looking more like an NBA-level offense ... but I don't see it in the numbers, and I wonder if my hope is shrouding my judgment. I look at the spreadsheets and see that the Kings might very well be the second worst team in the league despite a not-embarrassing record ... and I wonder why I've felt so good about the performances to date of Tyreke Evans, DeMarcus Cousins and Jason Thompson, and about the coaching of Keith Smart.
If the Kings can pull off a win by any margin to get to 4-5 on this spill, I'm going to banish my analytic side for the rest of the season ... OK, until the All-Star break. If it's another blow-out loss, I'm afraid I'll need to re-assess any warm fuzzies I've gotten over the past couple weeks. The internal conflict is just too much to sustain.
Game's at 7. Game threads at 7 and 8:30. Let's go Kings!
3 recs | 21 comments
First my thoughts on the Memphis game then my preview;
The Spurs who averaged 52% coming into the game shot 37% in the Kings 2pt victory. The Grizzlies who were shooting 48% from the field shot 60% for most of the game until garbage time. Neither of those 2 performances where entirely the result of the Kings defense. We worked hard against a team that shot badly and won, and we worked hard against a team that shot marvelously and we lost badly.
Even with the improvement Coach Smart has made we still don’t have the answer on how to defend the paint, we gave up another 62pts in the paint to Memphis after giving up 72pt in our first game. This problem of protecting the paint just might rear its ugly head in Portland. In our first game against Memphis they scored 27 of 40 shots at the rim (67.5%), this game they were 25 of 36 (69.4%), and in our first meeting with Portland they were 23 of 37 at the rim (62.2%). Get the idea of where I’m going with this?
In our first meeting with Portland back on 12/27/11, 8 out of 11 players shot better than 50% at the rim with Wallace, Aldridge, and Batum combining to go 14 for 20 or 70% at the rim and the rest of the team went 9 of 17 or 52.9%. And, it’s not just the guards who are getting to the basket or setting up their bigs in the paint. The front court players are setting up the guards for easy baskets at the rim as well.
We just do a horrible job on our help defense at the basket. And, even when there is help, the rotations aren’t there to support the helper. Our guards can’t stay in front of speedy guards especially off screens because our bigs don’t do a good job of showing on the screens and sticking with the ball long enough for the guards to recover. And, sometimes when our guards are able to force the ball into what is supposed to be the teeth of our interior defense, the defensive help never arrives.
Offensively, the Kings had 11 assists in total in the last Portland game and the Trailblazers had 14 of their 25 assists at the rim. Now, Portland is only 9 and 7 so they aren’t unbeatable, but they might be at home where they are 6 and 1 with their only loss coming at the hands of Orlando by 4pts.
Portland just finished a road trip with 6 games in 9 days which ended with a loss to Detroit after going 2-3 in the first 5. Now home they start a back to back to back against the Kings after 1 day of rest. And, they may be without forward Gerald Wallace who missed the Detroit game with a sprained right middle finger. I think it’s time for the Kings to take a page out of every other team’s playbook on us, and pack the paint. Give Portland and their tired legs, the outside shot and live or die by whether or not they can make them. Go under every screen instead of switching, play off the weak side shooters. And, double the hot shooters to get the ball out of their hands. If we can stop penetration and get out on the break off the Defensive Boards we can beat them at their own game and not have to depend on making our outside shot in our half-court offense. The Kings beat Portland at the Rose Garden a year ago tomorrow by turning 19 turnovers into 31 fast-break pts. Dalembert held Aldridge to 9pts, 7rebs and 4 TO’s.
The front court match-ups are all bad for the Kings even without Wallace since Batum is a legit starter. And, if we can’t keep them out of the paint we’ll have to rely on a total shooting collapse like in the Spurs game for the Kings to keep this one close. That’s assuming that Thornton and Salmons are able to play. Otherwise, it’s going to be another good learning experience for Jimmer and Donte.
HighTops - January 23, 2012
I agree with this
Kings get better at this part of their defense, and everything else on D gets collaterally better.
I like to think Portland took advantage of a lot of teams early on because of the lockout preseason and stepped on the gas. If you notice, all the running teams got off to fast starts, and now things are starting to level off.
Wonderchild - January 23, 2012
Think they also had an advantage with continuity
They brought back essentially the same team with Felton and the same coach/philosophy.
That’s a big advantage over teams turning over half their roster (Kings), their coach (Lakers) or who brought back a coach who’s idea of an offensive game plan makes the Hindenburg look like a fun ride (again the Kings).
SPTSJUNKIE - January 23, 2012
When's Chuck coming back?
I think what you say here is probably the second biggest contributing factor to our suckitude on the road this year; the biggest reason being cold shooting of course.
BUT once settled in and acclimated to Smart’s system, the Chuck Wagon should make a huge impact here. I keep wondering when we’re going to deal Hickson away already and call up our shot blocking ringer from the D League for additional help.
Frankles - January 23, 2012
the SacBee article made it sound like he could be back within a week depending on how he looks/feels in practice
SharkKings49 - January 23, 2012
I read somewhere on here that he could be back as early as Wed
Noble_Bloodlines - January 23, 2012
We have to win to show Crawford he picked the wrong team
(..because we DESPERATELY need another guard who throws up shots and is mediocre at passing the ball)
yaboyrafa - January 23, 2012
I think we missed that chance last time we played Portland
But I hope Tyreke, Jimmer, or whoever is matched up with him can light him up.
SharkKings49 - January 23, 2012
Cacao Portland
Exhibit G - January 23, 2012
Cacao to Cacao.
Aykis16 - January 23, 2012
Hydraulics? I could not disagree more strongly
It’s all ball bearings these days.
section214 - January 23, 2012
Could be the Bypass Valve
And clean the muck off these windows!
#12Pick...who? - January 23, 2012
mmmm
we always play shitty against the blazers
AnkleMan - January 23, 2012
6'5" with the Afro 6'9"..
Pretty good dribbler…look how he shakes off 4 or 5 defenders…With EASE!!!
G McDiddy - January 23, 2012
Sorry I'm late...
One of those manure spreaders jack-knived on the Santa Anita….. U should see my shoes.
Pdidd - January 23, 2012 via mobile
If Aldridge is as accurate with the ball as Billy Cundiff today
the Kings have a shot. If not, well, I’m not liking the chances of it being close in the fourth
darooster - January 23, 2012
is chuck Hayes planning on playing?
He’s out here shooting around by himself.
Portland's Cowboy fan - January 23, 2012 via iPhone app
Please don't ban me for saying this but..
Fuck Paul Wesphal. He didn’t help develop any of our younger players and we barely won any games with him as coach..fucking useless
deucedeuce - January 23, 2012
Tom Ziller's hopes hang in the balance on tonight's game.
No pressure, guys.
AnotherStupidSN - January 23, 2012
Call me crazy but I wouldn't mind a big starting lineup for tonight's matchup.
Tyreke and Salmons in the backcourt. Cousins, JT and Donte in the front.
adamsite - January 23, 2012
Looks like Salmons and Greene will start tonight.
dinnertim - January 23, 2012
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